Home arrow Space News arrow Latest Earth News arrow Statistics Link Stronger Hurricanes to Warmer Oceans

Space Polls

Do you think the Universe was created by a Big Bang?
 

Statistics Link Stronger Hurricanes to Warmer Oceans

Written by SerenaStargazer
Sunday, 19 March 2006
A new statistical analysis by climate researcher Judith Curry and her colleagues at the Georgia Institute of Technology has shown that only an increase in sea surface temperature can explain the recent increase in the frequency and severity of hurricanes. Since the 1970s, ocean surface temperatures around the globe have risen from one half to one degree Fahrenheit. While two studies last summer linked this temperature rise to stronger, more frequent hurricanes, sceptics said that other factors, such as natural variability, could account for the increase in temperature.

However, in a more recent study, Curry and her team looked at records of hurricanes between 1970 and 2004, in all of the world’s ocean basins. They subjected the records to a mathematical test of mutual information, which measures the amount of information two variables share, so that if they do not overlap at all this measure would be zero. The team then looked at sea surface temperature, specific humidity, wind shear and wind variation over longitude to see what, if anything, these variables shared with the increasing number of strong storms the world over. The analysis showed that the trend of increasing numbers of strong storms only depends on sea surface temperature.

 
< Prev   Next >


© 2008 Space Travel Archive
Website Design York Interweb